NDTV Special Analysis: The Scale Of Congress Loss, State By State

New Delhi:

The Congress’s disastrous exhibiting within the meeting elections to 5 states has added to a sequence of poor outcomes, elevating severe questions concerning the highway forward for India’s oldest occasion.

The Congress not solely misplaced Punjab however was decimated in all states.

In Punjab, one of many final huge states that it dominated, the Congress witnessed an enormous 15 per cent swing in opposition to it.

The Aam Aadmi Social gathering, which swept the elections, emerged as the most important gainer in votes with an enormous 19% swing in its favour. The BJP had a a lot smaller swing of +2%.

The AAP primarily benefited (19%) from the mixed huge 21% drop in votes of the Congress, Akali Dal and smaller events, resulting in a landslide for the occasion.

The meeting elections in Goa additionally proved to be disastrous for the Congress; it registered an enormous 6% swing in opposition to it.  No different single occasion noticed such a big swing away in votes in these elections.

Essentially the most spectacular achieve within the coastal state was reported by the Revolutionary Goa Social gathering (RGP).

The newly-formed RGP noticed a ten% rise in votes, leaving the AAP, Trinamool Congress, and Maharashtrawadi Gomantak Social gathering (MGP) behind.

In Uttar Pradesh, India’s most politically important state, the Congress did not make any impression regardless of a high-voltage marketing campaign led by Priyanka Gandhi Vadra.

It noticed a swing of 4% in opposition to it; Mayawati’s Bahujan Samaj  Social gathering (BSP) noticed the most important drop in votes with a 9% swing in opposition to it.

The votes of the non-Samajwadi Social gathering opposition – the Congress, BSP and others – went down by 16%. Whereas 3% of these votes went to the BJP, 13% went to the Samajwadi Social gathering.

Uttarakhand – the hill state the place the Congress had hoped for a comeback, or at the least, a detailed struggle – was the one state the place the Congress noticed an increase in its vote share.

The occasion emerged as the most important gainer in votes-with a considerable 5% swing in its favour – however since solely 2% of this got here from BJP the Congress couldn’t overtake the BJP in votes – and remained the second largest occasion.

The election in Manipur additionally turned out to be catastrophic for India’s oldest occasion because it misplaced 19% of its vote share, lowering the occasion to much less than half its measurement in 2017.

The large swing in opposition to the Congress didn’t go to the BJP – as a substitute it went to different events opposing the BJP: 12% to the NPP and 11% to the JDU – making JDU the brand new second (joint) largest occasion within the state.